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* A Veto on General Sleiman

Al-Hayat, UK, December 13, 2007

By Hassan Haidar

The 14 March alliance showed impressive political maturity when it nominated General Michel Sleiman for the presidency, especially when taking into consideration the alliance's recent formation, the diversity of forces it includes, and the massive political and security pressures that it has been exposed to and which it still survives.

Moreover, by embracing this choice, the alliance proved its ability to foresee whatever plots are in the making for Lebanon through paralyzing its constitutional institutions one after the other through various means: resignation, shutting down, or the void. These two elements, maturity and the ability to foresee, have stirred anxiety among those who do not wish for the independence-oriented alliance to make any use of its accomplishments, especially ending the mandate period, the setting of the fundamentals of Lebanon's relations with other Arab countries particularly its direct neighbors, and the attempt to pull Lebanon out of the whirls of regional and international conflicts.

The response did not take long to materialize. It came in the form of assassinating chief of operations in the Lebanese army, General Francois Hajj, known for his closeness to Army Commander General Sleiman and his preferred candidate to take over his post as army commander. The assassination made it clear that a certain side has caste a veto against Sleiman's election as president.

The message was delivered by undermining the unanimous support enjoyed by the army through involving it in the divisive strife and by preventing Sleiman's election as an opportunity for a new start that prevents any side from exercising the potential to impose political or constitutional paralysis. The assassination came particularly after word was out that the president-to-be - in addition to his close ties with the military establishment whose unity he has preserved over three years of political and security tensions - would enjoy significant presence both at the parliamentary and ministerial level to secure conciliation, retrieve balance to institutions and eliminate the need for the "obstructing third" for one or the other side.

The assassination of Hajj also implies that there are also those, both inside and outside Lebanon, who believer that the compromise offered by the parliamentary majority by accepting constitutional amendment to end the void, represents the beginning of its defeat, hence warranting the need to continue the battle to force it to make more concessions, an objective best accomplishable by further delaying the presidential elections and maintaining the ongoing threat of a presidential void and its consequences in terms of economic and security deterioration. By the same token, the same sides believe that if the majority has taken responsibility and decided to sacrifice by dropping the option of electing a president by absolute majority and by giving in to amending the constitution to save the country, why not force it to make more concessions?

Just yesterday, French President Nicholas Sarkozy expressed his willingness to visit Damascus if conciliatory presidential elections were held, if the assassinations stopped in Lebanon, and if Syria did not attempt to block the work of the international tribunal. Ultimately, these conditions are subject to modification, especially since Damascus has a proven record in negotiating over Lebanon and in finding the right circumstances to do so.

Perhaps some were expecting that the assassination would trigger a different response from deputy Michel Aoun who repeatedly asserts his roots in the military establishment although that did not stop him from opposing the army commander's bid for the presidency. However, instead of maintaining his silence, at least out of respect for his slain comrade, as usual he "messed up" in haste by defending Syria and accusing Siniora's government that it could not be distanced from the assassination!

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